Russia is likely to grapple with logistical and administrative challenges after announcing a partial mobilization of its armed forces amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, according to the latest intelligence update from the UK.
Russian President Vladimir Putin issued an executive order after which he announced partial mobilization in a televised address to his nation on Wednesday. Following the announcement, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu later confirmed that the move would involve the mobilization of 3,00,000 reservists.
Citing the Russian defense secretary’s revelation, the UK MoD tweeted: “The move is effectively an admission that Russia has exhausted its supply of willing volunteers to fight in Ukraine.”
Russia may face logistical and administrative challenges: UK
The intelligence information further suggested that the Russian military could try to set up new formations with many of the reservist troops, but it is unlikely to be combat-effective for months.
The UK Ministry of Defense went on to claim that “Russia will likely face the logistical and administrative challenges of deploying even the 300,000 staff”.
(1/4) On September 21, 2022, Russia’s Putin announced a “partial mobilization” to support operations in Ukraine. Russian Defense Minister Shoigu later confirmed that this would involve mobilizing 300,000 reservists.
— Department of Defense 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) 09/22/2022
The intelligence post accepted that Putin’s move to order partial mobilization would provide the nation with much-needed military combat capability, but also claimed that the limited mobilization will likely be highly unpopular with sections of the Russian population, as the post went on to explain that President Putin had taken a considerable political risk.
Navalny criticizes Russia for “recruiting” Russian prisoners in Ukraine
Kremlin critic and opposition leader Alexei Navalny previously accused Russia of recruiting Russian prisoners to fight Ukraine. Navalny’s allegations came after a leaked video showed Yevgeny Prigozhin, a Putin ally, offering pardons to prisoners at a Russian prison if they agreed to fight in the war against Ukraine.
The Wagner Group is allegedly a Russian private military company owned and funded by Prigozhin, a Russian oligarch and close confidant of President Putin. According to the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), the group’s operations are said to be “deeply intertwined” with the Russian military and intelligence services.
In addition, the UK Intelligence Update also released a representative map showing the likely axis of progress of both Russia and Ukraine in the ongoing war.