Russian President Vladimir Putin’s mobilization task “is unlikely to produce mobilized reserve forces,” the Institute for War Studies (ISW) said. The ISW has said that mobilization is unlikely to produce even the inferior reserve forces unless they “fix fundamental and systemic problems quickly.” The ISW’s latest assessment comes after Putin ordered a partial mobilization in Russia on September 21.
“The Russian mobilization system is struggling to do the job of Russian President Vladimir Putin and is unlikely to be able to produce mobilized reserve forces of even the poor quality that Putin’s plans would have produced, unless the Kremlin can do basic and systemic Solve problems quickly,” the ISW said.
It noted that Putin and Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu had announced that Moscow’s troops would mobilize combat-ready reservists to “quickly stabilize front lines and regain initiative on the battlefield.” The ISW underscored that Russian pro-war bloggers and social media users have raised concerns about “unlawful” mobilization practices. In addition, on the second day of the effort, they demonstrated “serious Russian mobilization problems.”
The challenges and errors encountered during the first few days of work on partial mobilization were not surprising, according to ISW. However, it stressed that the Russian military mobilization was not “better prepared for war” than the Russian armed forces.
Statements by Shoigu and Putin mentioning categories of men excluded from the mobilization have also fueled anger and distrust towards the Kremlin. Russia announced its decision to exempt some people working in certain high-tech industries and financial systems from partial mobilization. The Russian Defense Ministry said the decision was made to ensure the proper functioning of certain high-tech industries and financial systems in Russia. High-tech industries include the information technology sector, telecommunications companies and television channel broadcasters.
The ISW stressed that the “different” mobilization processes in different regions “could exacerbate” social tensions in Russia that have already started, by perceiving inequalities in the formation of volunteer battalions. It said that protests and attacks on recruitment centers and vandalism erupted in Russia in the first 48 hours after the partial mobilization was announced.
“The heavily nationalist and pro-war milblogger community is calling on the Kremlin to address these mobilization issues quickly, but the Kremlin is unlikely to be able to meet their demands,” the ISW said.
Putin orders partial mobilization
In his address to the nation, Vladimir Putin said he had signed a decree on partial mobilization in Russia. The Kremlin leader stressed that the decision was “entirely proportionate to the threats” Russia is facing and to protect its territory and ensure the safety of the people of Russia and the liberated regions.
Putin said Russia will “do everything to ensure safe conditions for holding referendums.” He strongly warned the West, noting that Russia would use “all means” to protect its territory and assured that “it’s not a bluff”. He also accused the West of wanting to “weaken, split and ultimately destroy” Russia.